UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady takes place on November 7, 2026, and FightChoice's AI ensemble has analyzed every bout on the card. Our advanced system provides win probabilities and detailed reasoning for each prediction, focusing on the key matchup dynamics that drive the outcome.
Fight Predictions and Analysis
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Nina Milosevic (Women's Bantamweight)
Our AI ensemble favors Nina Milosevic with a 74% win probability. The model identifies Milosevic's superior striking volume and accuracy as a significant advantage. Cachoeira's tendency to engage in wild exchanges can be exploited by a more composed and technically sound striker like Milosevic.
Austin Bashi vs. Lucas Brennan (Featherweight)
Austin Bashi is predicted to win with 68% probability. Bashi's well-rounded skillset, particularly his effective grappling and control on the ground, is expected to overcome Brennan's striking-focused approach. The ensemble highlights Bashi's ability to dictate the fight's location.
Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight)
Our model gives Keiichiro Nakamura a strong 80% win probability. Nakamura's aggressive pace and powerful striking, combined with his solid takedown defense, are seen as key factors. Schmid may struggle to match Nakamura's output and intensity throughout the fight.
Jose Delano vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight)
Murtazali Magomedov is the slight favorite with a 53% win probability. This matchup is projected to be close, but Magomedov's more diverse offensive arsenal, including his submission threat, gives him a marginal edge. Delano's defensive vulnerabilities are a concern for the model.
Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight)
Karine Silva is predicted to win with 60% probability. Silva's powerful striking and aggressive finishing instincts are highlighted as the primary drivers of this prediction. Fernandes may find it difficult to weather Silva's early storm.
Gabriel Lorenco vs. Alvin Hines (Heavyweight)
Our AI ensemble favors Gabriel Lorenco with a 52% win probability. In a heavyweight bout where power is prevalent, Lorenco's slightly more refined technique and ability to land impactful strikes give him a narrow advantage. Hines' defensive lapses are a point of concern.
Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Wes Schultz (Middleweight)
Mantas Kondratavicius is strongly favored with an 80% win probability. Kondratavicius' superior athleticism, powerful striking, and effective grappling are expected to overwhelm Schultz. The model points to Kondratavicius' ability to control the pace and dictate the fight's flow.
Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight)
Lucas Fernando is predicted to win with 55% probability. Fernando's more diverse striking combinations and his ability to mix in takedowns are seen as crucial. Elekana's reliance on power striking may be countered by Fernando's adaptability.
Seokhyeon Ko vs. Wellington Turman (Welterweight)
Our model gives Seokhyeon Ko a significant 80% win probability. Ko's exceptional wrestling pedigree and suffocating top control are expected to be the deciding factors. Turman's defensive grappling may not be enough to consistently fend off Ko's pressure.
Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight)
Elijah Smith is predicted to win with a 78% win probability. Smith's superior speed, technical striking, and effective counter-punching are highlighted as key advantages. Grant's aggressive style can leave him open to Smith's precise attacks.
Tatiana Suarez vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women's Strawweight)
Tatiana Suarez is favored with a 74% win probability. Suarez's elite wrestling and relentless pressure are expected to be too much for Jandiroba. The model emphasizes Suarez's ability to secure takedowns and maintain dominant positions.
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight)
Our AI ensemble favors Gabriel Bonfim with a 71% win probability. Bonfim's explosive striking and dangerous submission game are seen as a potent combination. Brady's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against Bonfim's power, are a key consideration.
Jonny Parsons vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight)
Jonny Parsons is predicted to win with 64% probability. Parsons' more aggressive striking and his ability to land significant power shots are expected to give him the edge. Henrique may struggle to match Parsons' offensive output and intensity.
Conclusion
FightChoice's AI ensemble has provided a comprehensive forecast for UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on November 7, 2026. For a detailed breakdown of all predictions and their underlying reasoning, please visit our predictions and forecast pages.