FightChoice Intelligence Report
Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado
https://fightchoice.app/events/austin-bashi-vs-jose-miguel-delgado-prediction-2026-07-18
Featherweight
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Jul 18, 2026
Stats Model Prediction
🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Jul 14, 2026, 03:53 UTC
Model Breakdown
Austin Bashi
Jose Miguel Delgado
Deep Learning Model α 21% weight
56.1%
43.9%
Deep Learning Model ξ 23% weight
48.0%
52.0%
Statistical Model δ 16% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Statistical Model β 21% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Statistical Model ε 19% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Ensemble
54.3%
45.7%
Predicted Winner
Austin Bashi
54.3%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
*New fighters, prediction made with limited information
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| Stat | Austin Bashi | Jose Miguel Delgado |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 14-2 | 8-1 |
| Height | 5' 6" | — |
| Weight | 145 lbs. | — |
| Reach | 70" | — |
| Stance | Orthodox | — |
| Age | 24 | — |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Austin Bashi | Jose Miguel Delgado |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 8.1 | — |
| Strike accuracy | 39.6% | — |
| Takedowns | 1 | — |
| Takedown accuracy | 21.2% | — |
| Sub attempts | 0.3 | — |
| Control time | 100.6s | — |
| Knockdowns | 0 | — |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.14 | — |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 80.0% | 92.3% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -1 | 5 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 10 | 13 |
| head strike share | 64.9% | 0.0% |
| body strike share | 28.1% | 0.0% |
| leg strike share | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 11.29 | 1.374 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.43 | 0.747 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 1.25 | — |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 1.74 | — |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0 | — |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | No |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 62.5% | 91.7% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 41.7% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 62.5% | 50.0% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| distance strike share | 78.9% | 0.0% |
| clinch strike share | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| ground strike share | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 11:13 | — |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,487.7 | 1500 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.061 | 0.032 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Peak |
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Austin Bashi
Jose Miguel Delgado
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