FightChoice Intelligence Report
Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
https://fightchoice.app/events/ketlen-vieira-vs-jacqueline-cavalcanti-prediction-2026-05-16
Women's Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Stats Model Prediction
Model Breakdown
Ketlen Vieira
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Deep Learning Model α 21% weight
51.0%
49.0%
Deep Learning Model ξ 23% weight
52.9%
47.1%
Statistical Model δ 16% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Statistical Model β 21% weight
35.2%
64.8%
Statistical Model ε 19% weight
34.3%
65.7%
Ensemble
25.7%
74.3%
Predicted Winner
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
74.3%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Predicted Duration
3rd Round at 4m18s (14m18s total)
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Ketlen Vieira | Jacqueline Cavalcanti |
|---|---|---|
| UFC Record | 10-5 | 5-1 |
| Height | 5' 8" | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach | 68" | 70" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Age | 35 | 28 |
Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Ketlen Vieira | Jacqueline Cavalcanti |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 13.5 | 26.5 |
| Strike accuracy | 40.2% | 46.8% |
| Takedowns | 0.4 | 0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 42.6% | 0% |
| Sub attempts | 0.2 | 0 |
| Control time | 94.6s | 7.3s |
| Knockdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.02 | 0 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 66.7% | 80.0% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | 1 | -1 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 15 | 10 |
| head strike share | 76.3% | 49.1% |
| body strike share | 14.2% | 18.9% |
| leg strike share | 9.5% | 32.1% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 18.59 | 14.89 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.68 | 1.19 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.9 | 1.27 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.57 | 0.000 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | Yes |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 10.0% | 37.5% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 37.5% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| distance strike share | 77.8% | 95.2% |
| clinch strike share | 15.9% | 4.8% |
| ground strike share | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 15:17 | 15:00 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,572.3 | 1,557.4 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.157 | 0.090 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Peak |
Betting Edge
Recommended stake
25%
of bankroll
on Jacqueline Cavalcanti at 1.65 (research)
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Ketlen Vieira
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
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