FightChoice Intelligence Report

Juliana Miller
vs
Ravena Oliveira

Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira

https://fightchoice.app/events/juliana-miller-vs-ravena-oliveira-prediction-2026-08-08

Women's Flyweight

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld · Aug 8, 2026

Stats Model Prediction

🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Aug 7, 2026, 07:21 UTC

Model Breakdown
Juliana Miller Ravena Oliveira
Statistical Model δ 29% weight 64.7% 35.3%
Statistical Model β 37% weight 64.1% 35.9%
Statistical Model ε 34% weight 60.2% 39.8%
Ensemble 73.3% 26.7%
Predicted Winner
Juliana Miller
73.3%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
Decision (15m00s total)
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Fights with a similar mismatch

Every fighter is reduced to a profile of 37 career measures as they stood going into the fight, standardised so that no single measure dominates merely for having bigger units — a far wider read than the six charted below. The bout is then described by the gap between the two: how far apart they were on each of those measures, setting aside which one was ahead. The fights listed here are those whose gaps line up most closely with this one. Because the match is on the shape of a mismatch rather than on a weight class or an era, a neighbour can come from an entirely different division.

Fight Juliana Miller Ravena Oliveira
73% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Dec 4, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Bantamweight
Louis Smolka
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
23
Strike accuracy
71.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Vince Morales Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 2m02s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
27
Strike accuracy
55.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
73% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 22, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Lightweight
Chris Wade Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7.7
Strike accuracy
53.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
37.5%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
165s
Frankie Perez
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7.3
Strike accuracy
34.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
60%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
65.7s
72% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 8, 2015
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Lightweight
Beneil Dariush Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
25
Strike accuracy
37.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Michael Johnson
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
28
Strike accuracy
37.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
72% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
May 29, 2010
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Middleweight
Dan Miller
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
16.7
Strike accuracy
23.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
25%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
15s
Michael Bisping Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
25.3
Strike accuracy
33.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
72% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jun 11, 2022
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
Bantamweight
Kyung Ho Kang Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
33.3
Strike accuracy
64.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Batgerel Danaa
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
36.3
Strike accuracy
38.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
1s

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Tale of the Tape

Stat Juliana Miller Ravena Oliveira
Career Record 4-4 7-4-1
Height 5' 7" 5' 5"
Weight 125 lbs. 115 lbs.
Reach 66" 65"
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Age 30 29

Records are official career records, all promotions included.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

Stat Juliana Miller Ravena Oliveira
Per Round Average
Strikes 12.8 8.1
Strike accuracy 39.9% 30.4%
Takedowns 0.7 0.3
Takedown accuracy 29% 50%
Sub attempts 0.4 0
Control time 107.4s 41.8s
Knockdowns 0 0
Knockdowns absorbed 0 0
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 76.5% 33.3%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 40.0% 40.0%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. -1 -3
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 17 6
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 68.1% 61.5%
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 25.3% 23.1%
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 6.6% 15.4%
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 19.92 15.88
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 0.38 0.88
cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 0.91 0.32
cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 0.62 0.26
cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 1.5 1
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. Yes Yes
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No No
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. No No
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 61.5% 100.0%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 15.4% 100.0%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 46.2% 0.0%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 25.0% 75.0%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 66.3% 93.8%
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 15.1% 6.2%
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 18.7% 0.0%
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. 12:32 11:22
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1,482.3 1,454.8
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.081 0.010
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Decline Decline

Betting Edge

Fighter Win confidence DraftKings odds Break-even Edge
Juliana Miller 73.3% 1.31 76.3% -4.0%
Ravena Oliveira 26.7% 3.60 27.8% -3.7%

Odds are the latest we have from DraftKings. Edge = win confidence × decimal odds − 1, so a positive edge means the price pays more than our model thinks the fighter is worth.

Break-even = 1 ÷ decimal odds — the win rate you would need at that price just to come out level. It is the raw price, with the bookmaker's margin still in it, so the two fighters' break-evens add up to more than 100%: that surplus is the book's cut, not a mistake.

Recommended stake 2% of bankroll on Juliana Miller at 1.32 (DraftKings) * Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

Market Odds

Sportsbook Juliana Miller Ravena Oliveira
US Decimal US Decimal
Proline -400 1.25 +220 3.20
DraftKings -323 1.31 +260 3.60
FanDuel -323 1.31 +260 3.60
BetMGM -323 1.31 +260 3.60
Bovada -323 1.31 +260 3.60
BetOnline -303 1.33 +249 3.49

Odds captured Aug 8, 2026, 6:02 PM

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